Capital Market Outlook
February 27, 2023
IN THIS ISSUE
- Macro Strategy — Earnings Recession Continues: Financial conditions have begun to tighten again, raising the odds of a 2023 recession.
- Market View — The War in Ukraine: Some Consequences for the Financial Markets One Year On: In the case of the Ukraine-Russian conflict, think higher levels of global inflation, more state intervention, a more fragmented global economy, rising U.S. tensions with China, and complex/structural shifts in the global energy markets.
- Thought of the Week — Sustainable Investing: Trends to Watch in 2023: The outlook for alternative energy should continue to gather momentum.
Opinions and data are as of the date of this report and are subject to change.
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The Chief Investment Office (CIO) provides thought leadership on wealth management, investment strategy and global markets; portfolio management solutions; due diligence; and solutions oversight and data analytics. CIO viewpoints are developed for Bank of America Private Bank, a division of Bank of America, N.A., (“Bank of America") and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated (“MLPF&S" or “Merrill"), a registered broker-dealer, registered investment adviser and a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corporation (“BofA Corp.").
All recommendations must be considered in the context of an individual investor’s goals, time horizon, liquidity needs and risk tolerance. Not all recommendations will be in the best interest of all investors.
Asset allocation, diversification and rebalancing do not ensure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.
Investments have varying degrees of risk. Some of the risks involved with equity securities include the possibility that the value of the stocks may fluctuate in response to events specific to the companies or markets, as well as economic, political or social events in the U.S. or abroad. Bonds are subject to interest rate, inflation and credit risks. Treasury bills are less volatile than longer-term fixed income securities and are guaranteed as to timely payment of principal and interest by the U.S. government. Investments in foreign securities (including ADRs) involve special risks, including foreign currency risk and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. These risks are magnified for investments made in emerging markets. Investments in a certain industry or sector may pose additional risk due to lack of diversification and sector concentration.