Capital Market Outlook
July 11, 2022
IN THIS ISSUE
- Macro Strategy — Downside Risks Remain: Underwhelming economic data have continued to sap confidence in the longevity of the current expansion.
- Global Market View — What the Markets May Not Be Pricing In?: We highlight a few possible scenarios that the markets may not be fully factoring into prices.
- Thought of the Week — What Type of Recovery Shape for Global Consumer Confidence: “V" or “U"?: Raging inflation, Ukraine crisis, supply chain bottlenecks, the pandemic—all of these variables have converged to undermine one of the most important drivers of global growth.
Opinions and data are as of the date of this report and are subject to change.
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This information should not be construed as investment advice and is subject to change. It is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to be either a specific offer by Bank of America, Merrill or any affiliate to sell or provide, or a specific invitation for a consumer to apply for, any particular retail financial product or service that may be available.
The Chief Investment Office (CIO) provides thought leadership on wealth management, investment strategy and global markets; portfolio management solutions; due diligence; and solutions oversight and data analytics. CIO viewpoints are developed for Bank of America Private Bank, a division of Bank of America, N.A., (“Bank of America") and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated (“MLPF&S" or “Merrill"), a registered broker-dealer, registered investment adviser and a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corporation (“BofA Corp.").
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Asset allocation, diversification and rebalancing do not ensure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets.
Investments have varying degrees of risk. Some of the risks involved with equity securities include the possibility that the value of the stocks may fluctuate in response to events specific to the companies or markets, as well as economic, political or social events in the U.S. or abroad. Bonds are subject to interest rate, inflation and credit risks. Treasury bills are less volatile than longer-term fixed income securities and are guaranteed as to timely payment of principal and interest by the U.S. government. Investments in foreign securities (including ADRs) involve special risks, including foreign currency risk and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. These risks are magnified for investments made in emerging markets. Investments in a certain industry or sector may pose additional risk due to lack of diversification and sector concentration.